Mya – 2025-10-29
Severity: High (Lowsec). Period covered: 2025‑10‑22 through 2025‑10‑28.
TL;DR
- Mya is routinely hunted by a high‑skill solo/small‑gang predator (Ronen Uitra) and several agile frigate/HAC/T3 threat actors.
- A single, confirmed mass operation on 2025‑10‑23 (47 kills; Widows, Phoenix Navy Issue, Naglfar, Zirnitra present) demonstrates the system can escalate to a coordinated capital/black‑ops strike with almost no warning.
- Operators should treat Mya as hazardous for solo/industrial traffic and as potentially contested for any capital or asset movement.
Intelligence Summary
- Two distinct threat profiles observed:
- Persistent small‑gang/solo predation: concentrated in agile, cloaky and interdiction-capable platforms (Astero, Hecate, Loki, Proteus, Garmur). Primary persistent threat: Ronen Uitra (Thread Level 4.0 — Severe).
- Singular, high‑amplitude mass engagement on 2025‑10‑23 (13:59–14:01 UTC) involving a coordinated force referenced as “The Coalition (Multiple Corps)” — heavy presence of Widow battleships (43+), FAX/dreadnoughts (Naglfar), and capital support (Phoenix Navy Issue, Zirnitra). This event is Thread Level 5.0 — Guaranteed Death for exposed fleets/structures in the strike window.
Observed Patterns & Windows of Risk
- Proven strike window (avoid for high‑value assets): ~13:00–15:00 UTC (notably 13:59–14:01 UTC on 2025‑10‑23). That midday interval was used for the mass operation and should be treated as a high‑risk period going forward.
- Routine piracy windows: 04:30–08:00 UTC (early operations/late‑night), 10:00–16:00 UTC (daylight roaming), and evening USTZ ~17:50–19:00 UTC.
- Small‑gang activity is persistent and distributed across the UTC day; do not assume safety outside the above windows.
Profiled Threats (top actors)
- The Coalition (Multiple Corps) — Capital/black‑ops deployment; responsible for the Oct 23 mass strike. Thread Level: 5.0. Evidence shows coordinated cloaked/black‑ops movement and significant capital support.
- Ronen Uitra — Regular solo/small‑gang predator in Astero, Hecate, Loki. Thread Level: 4.0. Targets industrial and lightly defended ships; high mobility and stealth tactics.
- Michel Ferran (Proteus), Boruet Annages (Garmur), and a Ronen Uitra & Dejan Estemaire Duo (Loki + Broadsword) — capable solo/duo threats, capable of rapid interdiction and lethal prosecution of isolated targets.
- Several kills show no attacker present (abandoned ships), indicating exploitable moments where pilots are vulnerable (AFK, disconnects, suicide ganks). These are opportunistic low‑skill events but increase ambient risk.
Operational Recommendations (rooted in observed intel)
- Industrial/Haulage:
- Defer non‑urgent high‑value movements through Mya. If movement is necessary, avoid the 13:00–15:00 UTC window entirely.
- Use multiple, staggered transits rather than single large freighters through Mya. Keep to smaller, less conspicuous logistics where operationally feasible.
- Capsuleers in Subcaps (frigate/cruiser/T3/HAC):
- Assume high chance of encountering skilled interdictors and cloaky hunters (Ronen Uitra and companions). Avoid solo operations in vulnerable ships (mining barges, haulers, exploration/mining frigates) without scout/backup.
- Fit for mobility and rapid disengage where appropriate; prefer scouts and tacklers only when operating with allied backup.
- Small Gangs & PvP Roams:
- Expect small‑gang targets and prepared ambushes. Plan for possible escalation if enemy brings Black Ops or caps into the system — keep extraction plans and cyno denial in mind.
- Be aware that a single capital fleet can rapidly change local tolerances; avoid becoming decisively engaged if signs of large‑scale escalation appear.
- Capitals/Structures:
- Do not transit capitals or deploy unescorted FAX/dreadnought assets through Mya unless you have confirmed, reliable forces for both offensive and defensive support. The Oct 23 force showed capability and will to prosecute capital targets.
- Structures and deployed major assets in Mya should assume they will be actionable by a coordinated coalition; plan evacuation/defense windows accordingly.
- General Caution:
- Treat Mya as a system where both high‑skill individual hunters and episodic coalition strikes are real and lethal. Maintain vigilance, minimize idle/cloaked exposures, and time operations around the proven strike window.
What this means for pilots
- Short‑term: Mya remains useful for low‑sec activity but carries elevated personal and industrial risk. Solo pilots and haulers are the most at risk.
- Medium/Long‑term: The presence of a coalition-capable strike force indicates Mya is a potential focal point for larger strategic operations. Expect occasional spikes in threat level and plan asset movement accordingly.
Attribution and Limitations
- The Oct 23 mass operation is attributed in the intelligence as “The Coalition (Multiple Corps)” based on ship composition and scale. No additional attribution beyond analyst reporting is claimed.
- All recommendations are derived strictly from observed activity in Mya between 2025‑10‑22 and 2025‑10‑28. Conditions can change; treat this advisory as time‑bounded intelligence.
EIN Advisory Level: RED — High Risk. Exercise extreme caution, avoid single‑ship high‑value operations, and do not transit capitals or valuable freighters through Mya during the 13:00–15:00 UTC window unless escorted by a capable force.