Mannar – 2025-09-29
EIN-Advisory: Mannar — High Local Threat Centered on Aladar Krahn (UTC 20:00–02:00)
Summary
Mannar (Everyshore) currently exhibits a concentrated, repeatable threat pattern driven by a single dominant aggressor, Aladar Krahn. Recorded losses indicate targeted, predatory activity against vulnerable industrials and even solo combat pilots. Peak risk window: UTC 20:00–02:00 (late USTZ evening → early USTZ morning).
Threat Assessment
- Overall warning: HIGH for vulnerable ships (Ventures, haulers, most industrials). MEDIUM for solo combat-capable vessels.
- Primary threat actor: Aladar Krahn — consistent, effective attacker operating fast, high‑DPS platforms (recorded use of Garmur and Tholos). Capable of solo ganking and finishing off combat ships (Manticore kill recorded).
- Secondary actor: Cadhla Dioltas — observed as a support/participating attacker (Manticore), increasing lethality when present.
- Unknown/unattributed loss (Vexor) recorded but currently judged lower immediate player threat due to lack of attacker data.
Temporal Pattern
- All recorded hostile incidents fall inside UTC 20:00–02:00. No hostile activity recorded outside this window in the provided dataset.
- Operational implication: risk is time‑concentrated; outside these hours risk appears reduced but not eliminated.
Tactics Observed
- Fast, high-DPS frigates and attack battlecruisers used to close and rapidly dismantle vulnerable targets.
- Willingness to attack industrials and to secure pod/capsule kills on the follow‑through, indicating ruthlessness and follow-up tracking.
Immediate Advisories (actionable)
- Avoid solo industrial activity (mining, hauling) in Mannar during UTC 20:00–02:00. Ventures are especially at risk.
- If you must operate in the system during peak window:
- Use escorts or travel in small fleets; do not assume a combat ship alone is safe.
- Fit for survival: consider warp-core stabilizers, tank/propulsion/fits that increase escape chance and align times.
- Maintain probe/D‑scan discipline and keep ships aligned to bookmarks or warp‑off points; limit stationary exposure.
- Prefer transits outside the identified peak window where operationally feasible.
- Exercise caution even outside peak hours; absence of incidents in the sample is not a guarantee of safety.
Bottom Line
Mannar is currently dominated by a skilled, deliberate predator (Aladar Krahn) operating in predictable USTZ time windows. Unescorted and unprepared pilots are at high risk — plan operations to avoid peak times, use escorts, or fit for rapid escape and increased survivability.