Alachene – 2025-11-14
Date: 2025-11-13
Executive Summary
- Alachene (Low‑Sec, Everyshore) is experiencing sustained predatory activity with a focus on unescorted industrial traffic. Current analyst assessment: System Threat = 3.5/5.0; Industrial Pilot Threat = 4.0/5.0.
- Two pilots — Hunter Dredd and xINDiEE — account for the majority of recent attacks, using high‑mobility, high‑damage ships (notably Orthrus and Loki). A supporting Nemesis stealth bomber has been observed, indicating prior cloaked reconnaissance.
- Vulnerable ship types (Ventures, Retrievers, Nereus, Endurance) face a high probability of interdiction if transiting or operating unescorted during identified windows.
Threat Assessment (Short)
- Overall: Significant and persistent predation; repeat offenders present.
- Industrial traffic: High risk — 5 of 6 recorded kills were unescorted industrials or their pods.
- Pattern: Two primary operators concentrate activity in predictable daily and weekly windows.
Patterns & Timings (Actionable)
- Daily windows of elevated risk:
- Morning spike: ~08:00–10:00 UTC
- Afternoon/evening spike: ~16:00–19:00 UTC (largest cluster of kills)
- Weekly concentration:
- Highest activity on Monday and Tuesday (early–mid week).
- Reduced activity over weekend in the sampled period.
Primary Threat Actors (Observed)
- Hunter Dredd — ships used: Loki (Strategic Cruiser) and Orthrus (Cruiser). Most active threat; operates solo and in small groups. Rated Extremely Dangerous.
- xINDiEE — ships used: Nergal (Assault Frigate) and Orthrus. High threat; effective at interceptor/assault tactics.
- reno ley — Nemesis (Stealth Bomber) used in support roles; indicates cloaked scouting and possible alpha strikes or bombing in escalations.
Targeted Assets
- Primary victims: Ventures, Retrievers, Nereus, Endurance (unescorted or low‑combat fit industrials).
- Engagement profile: Rapid target acquisition and high burst damage/tackle from Orthrus/Loki combos; escape is unlikely once engaged.
Recommended Mitigations (Grounded in Analyst Data)
- Avoid Alachene during peak windows if mission/haul can be postponed: 08:00–10:00 UTC and especially 16:00–19:00 UTC (Mon–Tue risk highest).
- Do not operate Ventures, Retrievers, Nereus or Endurance unescorted in Alachene during these times.
- When transit is necessary, run with a dedicated escort capable of tackle or electronic warfare (warp‑scramble/e‑war fitted frigate/cruiser) and fleet cohesion. Analyst explicitly recommends escorts with warp‑scramble/E‑War capability.
- Assume prior reconnaissance: approach with caution; use probe/D‑scan discipline, vary routes and timing, and avoid predictable bookmarks or repeatedly used belts/staging points.
- Consider using faster/less vulnerable haulers or ships with higher mobility and signature control for transits. If you must use a slow industrial, schedule movement in low‑risk windows (weekend and outside identified daily spikes).
- Be prepared for coordinated multi‑ship engagements including cloaked bomber support; avoid solo deep‑space operations without backup.
Operational Notes (Low‑Sec Context)
- Low‑Sec means limited automatic enforcement and high risk from player predation — standard low‑sec caution applies.
- The presence of a stealth bomber implies engagements can be preceded by cloaked observation; assume that counters relying solely on visual confirmation are insufficient.
Bottom Line
- Alachene is currently a hazardous environment for independent industrial operations. The primary threat pair (Hunter Dredd / xINDiEE) favors fast, high‑damage tackle and scouting tactics that make escape unlikely once caught. Avoid the system during the specified UTC windows or transit only with capable escorts and heightened situational awareness.