Alachene – 2025-11-01
Date: 2025-11-01
System: Alachene (Everyshore) — Low-Sec
Source window: Killmail data 2025-10-25 → 2025-10-31
Executive summary
- Alachene shows a concentrated, repeatable predator pattern. Two primary threat actors — Dejan Estemaire and GodsSoldier Aideron — dominate kills and fleet actions.
- System threat average: 3.5/5.0 (Significant Risk). Industrial/mining ships face the greatest danger (4.0/5.0), with near-guaranteed interception risk during peak windows.
- Primary risk windows: Friday (UTC late afternoon → late night) and Tuesday (UTC evening). Tuesday incidents indicate organized fleet deployments capable of quickly overwhelming isolated high-value targets.
Threat breakdown (key points)
- Industrial/Mining threat: 4.0/5.0 — Repeated kills of Ventures, Procurers, Retrievers; highest risk on Friday (UTC 14:00–23:00). Real threat to industrial pilots: 4.5/5.0 during peak hours.
- High-tier ship danger: 3.5/5.0 — T3 cruisers (Proteus, Loki), Battle Barges (Praxis), and logistics/black-ops hulls are being engaged by organized groups. Expect escalation to multi-ship ganks when high-value combat ships are present.
- Local dominance: Dejan Estemaire appears as the system dominator (5.0/5.0) with versatile ship usage (Tornado, Lachesis, Loki, Vargur, Astero). GodsSoldier Aideron (4.0/5.0) specializes in quick industrial ganks using Vagabond and Tholos.
Temporal pattern (UTC)
- Friday — 14:00–23:00 → Highest activity: 4 significant incidents in the sample window (Venture, Procurer, Capsule, Retriever). Avoid industrial work.
- Tuesday — 21:00–22:00 → Organized fleet action (Praxis + support). High risk for isolated high-value ships.
- Saturday & Sunday — 06:00–19:00 → Lower but notable solo/small-gang hunting.
- Monday/Wednesday/Thursday — No incidents recorded in the sample window (risk unknown but should be treated cautiously given the concentrated activity on other days).
Primary predator profiles
- Dejan Estemaire — System dominator. Versatile, participates in both solo and fleet kills; capable of rapid escalation. Treat any non-station activity as potentially observable and targetable by this actor.
- GodsSoldier Aideron — Dedicated hunter of industrial targets using high-DPS and covert-capable ships (Vagabond, Tholos). Focuses on quick, high-value strikes.
- Supporting Loki fleet members (John Shepard21, reno ley, Hunter Dredd) — Demonstrated coordinated fleet gank capability (Praxis incident). Expect doctrine-based compositions (multiple Lokis + logistics/command support) for larger ganks.
Actionable guidance (rooted in observed data)
- Avoid unescorted industrial/mining operations in Alachene during Friday 14:00–23:00 UTC and Tuesday 21:00–22:00 UTC. These are the highest-probability windows for interception.
- If you must transit the system with valuable cargo or ships:
- Use cheap, expendable ships for transit whenever possible (value below typical Venture-level loss).
- Travel in properly fitted combat squads/escorts if moving high-value assets; assume rapid escalation and bring adequate tackle and logistics.
- Limit on-grid exposure: warp directly to safe points or the station, avoid loitering in belts or gates during peak windows.
- Avoid lone, slow industrial hulls in local space—Retrievers/Procurers and Ventures are repeatedly targeted.
- Pilots in T3s, battle barges, and high-value hulls should assume local intelligence capability: do not operate in the system solo without clear extraction/backup plans.
- Consider scheduling industrial activity outside the identified peak windows or using alternate routes/systems when possible.
Recent notable incidents (sample)
- Multiple industrial hull losses: Venture, Procurer, Retriever (Friday cluster).
- Organized fleet gank: Praxis destroyed by a Loki/Lachesis group (Tuesday evening), showing ability to concentrate DPS rapidly on isolated targets.
- High-tier solo kill: Proteus involved in offensive action; presence of advanced hulls indicates both solo-capable and fleet-capable adversaries.
Conclusion
Alachene is under active, organized predation centered on specific hunter identities and predictable time windows. Industrial pilots are at greatest risk — especially on Friday evenings (UTC) — and should avoid the system during those times or operate only with significant escort and loss mitigation practices. Combat pilots should also exercise caution: the predators here can and will escalate on attractive targets.
Everyshore Intel Network — EIN Advisory (Alachene)